Youth Vote Could Be Big

The latest from Zogby:

Razor thin margin here, if there is one at all. The President still does not get above 48%. The real news here is that 18-29 year olds favor Kerry 64% to 35%, with 1% for Nader—and 0% undecided. When I see a low undecided number it means that group is going to vote. I am factoring this group to be 12% of the total vote -- but it could be higher. Each point it goes higher translates into two-thirds of a percent for Kerry -- if these numbers hold up.
Otherwise, each candidate continues to do well among his base constituency. Bush leads by 5 among Catholics and there is again a double-digit gender gap.
Today for the first time, terrorism outranks Iraq as the number two issue.